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Red85
176311.0
178520.8
464643.6
Blue32
55766.3
392837.1
90316.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions814802040601001201408532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+43Teleop
+51Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
9Coral scored#5
33Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
0Processor points0
16Net points0
16Algae points0
49Total teleop17
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
2Foul points0
85Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.8
42.743.5
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End5.2
red by 6.5
3928
#25
37.11.6
35.533.9
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Second
1785
#15
20.80.8
20.020.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
red by 14.3
9031
#36
6.51.6
8.16.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.1
End1.9
Third
1763
#21
11.00.8
10.211.0
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End0.3
red by 4.8
5576
#35
6.31.6
7.86.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed