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Red22
180612.4
931610.6
421329.5
Blue105
198742.3
271831.2
957011.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629520408012014022105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+61
Endgame+71
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +51
2Coral scored#9
8Coral points31
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
0Processor points12
4Net points20
4Algae points32
12Total teleop63
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points12
22Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#13
29.53.2
32.329.2
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
blue by 12.7
42.30.8
41.542.3
Auto10.0
Teleop25.1
End7.2
Second
1806
#20
12.43.2
15.011.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.1
End2.6
blue by 18.9
2718
#10
31.20.8
30.431.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.7
Third
9316
#32
10.63.2
13.810.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End2.6
blue by 1.2
9570
#28
11.90.8
11.011.9
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned