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Qual 632025 Central Missouri Regional
Red84
175661.8
766217.3
418714.1
Blue109
476632.7
580143.3
580931.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081128010012014016084109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+15
Endgame+27
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points49
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
66Total teleop73
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
2Foul points0
84Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#1
61.81.8
62.9→61.1
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
red by 18.6
5801
#3
43.30.1
40.0→40.1
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
7662
#33
17.31.8
19.1→17.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 15.4
4766
#12
32.70.1
31.5→31.7
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
Third
4187
#34
14.11.8
15.8→14.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End1.1
blue by 17.2
5809
#11
31.20.1
30.6→30.7
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned