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Red121
16745.5
172317.6
171041.8
Blue98
173636.0
512626.7
318423.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1158320406010014016018012198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points12
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +4
17Coral scored#16
61Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
85Total teleop81
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points0
121Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#5
45.50.0
45.044.9
Auto14.0
Teleop29.8
End1.6
red by 9.5
36.00.4
35.235.6
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
Second
41.80.0
41.741.7
Auto9.7
Teleop31.6
End0.5
red by 15.1
5126
#22
26.70.4
24.424.7
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9
Third
1723
#30
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto1.5
Teleop14.9
End1.2
blue by 6.0
3184
#17
23.60.4
22.823.2
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed