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Red23
514112.2
81129.8
882518.9
Blue120
181026.0
235733.3
299649.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46114010015023120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+89
Endgame+99
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave6
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points31
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +61
2Coral scored#11
6Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
0Processor points12
0Net points16
0Algae points28
6Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
2Foul points0
23Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8825
#23
18.92.1
21.018.9
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
blue by 30.5
49.41.8
45.747.4
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End6.3
Second
5141
#26
12.22.1
14.312.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.0
End1.6
blue by 21.1
2357
#14
33.31.8
29.531.3
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
Third
8112
#31
9.82.1
11.99.8
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End3.1
blue by 16.2
1810
#29
26.01.8
23.224.9
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned