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Red126
199719.9
641914.8
452256.8
Blue91
596821.5
193926.6
328428.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8678020406010012014016012691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+33Teleop
+37Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +29
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
99Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points2
126Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.83.6
52.556.0
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
red by 28.5
3284
#19
28.30.9
26.327.2
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End0.5
Second
1997
#18
19.93.6
16.319.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.4
End0.6
blue by 6.7
1939
#24
26.60.9
25.626.5
Auto5.0
Teleop20.5
End1.1
Third
6419
#27
14.83.6
8.111.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5
blue by 6.6
5968
#16
21.50.9
19.820.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed