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Red158
452256.8
596821.5
175661.8
Blue111
328428.3
476632.7
181026.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1598750100150200158111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
26Coral scored#16
95Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
123Total teleop87
Reef
10L4#7
8L3#4
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
12Cage & park12
12Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
158Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.5
61.161.6
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
red by 29.1
4766
#12
32.70.7
31.732.4
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
Second
56.80.5
56.056.5
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
red by 28.5
3284
#19
28.30.7
27.227.9
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End0.5
Third
5968
#16
21.50.5
20.721.2
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
blue by 4.5
1810
#29
26.00.7
24.925.6
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.9