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Red93
421329.5
173636.0
318423.6
Blue138
512626.7
235733.3
299649.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94118608010014016093138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+35
Endgame+47
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave3
4Coral scored#7
22Coral points34
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
67Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +45
2Foul points0
93Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.1
35.936.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
blue by 13.4
49.40.8
48.749.5
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End6.3
Second
4213
#13
29.50.1
29.529.5
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
blue by 3.7
2357
#14
33.30.8
32.633.3
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
Third
3184
#17
23.60.1
23.523.6
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End1.7
blue by 3.1
5126
#22
26.70.8
26.026.7
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9