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Red105
464643.6
171041.8
193926.6
Blue85
421329.5
173636.0
318423.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1239040608010014016018010585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+16Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
71Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
105Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.60.2
43.843.6
Auto10.8
Teleop27.6
End5.2
red by 7.6
36.00.1
36.035.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
Second
41.80.2
42.041.8
Auto9.7
Teleop31.6
End0.5
red by 12.3
4213
#13
29.50.1
29.629.5
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
Third
1939
#24
26.60.2
26.826.6
Auto5.0
Teleop20.5
End1.1
red by 3.0
3184
#17
23.60.1
23.623.5
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End1.7