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Red138
452256.8
596821.5
175661.8
Blue80
180612.4
16745.5
580931.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154865010020013880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave9
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points18
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +42
17Coral scored#10
61Coral points37
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
18Processor points0
12Net points12
30Algae points12
91Total teleop49
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#2
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
138Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.0
61.661.6
Auto7.7
Teleop45.4
End8.7
red by 16.3
167
#5
45.50.2
45.345.1
Auto14.0
Teleop29.8
End1.6
Second
56.80.0
56.556.5
Auto9.6
Teleop43.2
End3.9
red by 25.5
5809
#11
31.20.2
31.130.9
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End1.9
Third
5968
#16
21.50.0
21.221.2
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End0.6
red by 9.1
1806
#20
12.40.2
12.212.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.1
End2.6