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Red89
882518.9
198742.3
271831.2
Blue93
580143.3
641914.8
392837.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104894060801201408993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +32
6Coral scored#16
20Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
44Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
89Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.2
42.542.3
Auto10.0
Teleop25.1
End7.2
blue by 1.0
43.30.2
39.840.0
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
2718
#10
31.20.2
31.531.2
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End2.7
blue by 5.9
3928
#25
37.10.2
33.633.8
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
Third
8825
#23
18.90.2
19.118.9
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End1.6
red by 4.0
6419
#27
14.80.2
11.311.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5