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Red104
328428.3
476632.7
181026.0
Blue159
512626.7
235733.3
299649.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941176080100140160104159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+39
Endgame+47
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +25
6Leave3
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
19Coral scored#21
68Coral points76
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
88Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#14
4L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#6
24Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points8
104Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4766
#12
32.70.4
32.432.7
Auto4.9
Teleop22.9
End5.0
blue by 16.7
49.41.2
47.548.7
Auto11.9
Teleop31.2
End6.3
Second
3284
#19
28.30.4
27.928.3
Auto5.0
Teleop22.8
End0.5
blue by 5.0
2357
#14
33.31.2
31.432.6
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End2.6
Third
1810
#29
26.00.4
25.626.0
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.9
blue by 0.7
5126
#22
26.71.2
24.826.0
Auto4.0
Teleop20.8
End1.9