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Red71
580143.3
641914.8
392837.1
Blue108
421329.5
173636.0
318423.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909460708010011012013071108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+47
Endgame+35
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +34
8Coral scored#15
27Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
41Total teleop75
Reef
2L4#8
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points2
71Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.30.4
40.139.8
Auto8.0
Teleop28.8
End6.5
red by 7.3
36.00.4
35.636.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End1.4
Second
3928
#25
37.10.4
33.933.6
Auto8.7
Teleop26.0
End2.4
red by 7.5
4213
#13
29.50.4
29.229.6
Auto8.9
Teleop20.5
End0.2
Third
6419
#27
14.80.4
11.711.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.5
End0.5
blue by 8.7
3184
#17
23.60.4
23.223.6
Auto5.4
Teleop16.5
End1.7