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Red136
306720.6
450060.0
940139.5
Blue192
2767.5
170668.9
132928.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124178100150200250136192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+58
Endgame+68
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points42
40Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +47
13Coral scored#21
46Coral points75
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
6Processor points24
16Net points16
22Algae points40
68Total teleop115
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#6
5L2#9
3L1 · trough#6
25Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +56
12Foul points0
136Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.1
59.960.0
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End6.3
blue by 8.9
68.90.8
68.168.9
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
Second
39.50.1
39.439.5
Auto14.4
Teleop18.8
End6.3
blue by 28.0
27
#1
67.50.7
66.967.5
Auto13.7
Teleop43.7
End10.1
Third
3067
#35
20.60.1
20.520.6
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End1.7
blue by 7.4
1329
#14
28.00.8
27.228.0
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.5