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Red122
306720.6
450060.0
940139.5
Blue181
2767.5
170668.9
132928.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125178100150200250122181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+51
Endgame+53
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points41
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +40
11Coral scored#21
41Coral points75
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
18Processor points24
16Net points16
34Algae points40
75Total teleop115
Reef
4L4#13
5L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points6
122Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.1
59.959.9
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End6.3
blue by 8.9
68.90.4
67.768.1
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
Second
39.50.1
39.339.4
Auto14.4
Teleop18.8
End6.3
blue by 28.0
27
#1
67.50.3
66.566.9
Auto13.7
Teleop43.7
End10.1
Third
3067
#35
20.60.1
20.420.5
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End1.7
blue by 7.4
1329
#14
28.00.4
26.827.2
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.5