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Red204
2767.5
170668.9
132928.0
Blue90
55435.0
493118.4
96738.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184995015020025020490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+102Teleop
+114Endgame
+114Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
6Leave0
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points19
51Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +70
24Coral scored#12
87Coral points43
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
24Processor points6
16Net points8
40Algae points14
127Total teleop57
Reef
14L4#6
10L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +114
0Foul points0
204Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.91.0
66.767.7
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
red by 30.2
967
#6
38.70.3
39.038.7
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End7.6
Second
27
#1
67.50.8
65.766.5
Auto13.7
Teleop43.7
End10.1
red by 32.5
554
#13
35.00.3
35.335.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.0
Third
1329
#14
28.01.0
25.826.8
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.5
red by 9.6
4931
#17
18.40.3
18.718.4
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End7.4