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Red98
506017.9
774715.0
117815.4
Blue175
120817.7
96738.7
450060.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54108015098175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+67
Endgame+77
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +27
0Leave3
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points33
9Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +40
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points67
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#7
12Processor points24
12Net points28
24Algae points52
79Total teleop119
Reef
8L4#12
5L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
6Foul points6
98Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5060
#10
17.91.0
16.417.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 42.2
60.03.4
44.748.1
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End6.3
Second
1178
#42
15.41.0
16.517.4
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.4
blue by 23.3
967
#6
38.75.7
23.729.4
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End7.6
Third
7747
#39
15.01.0
18.219.2
Auto2.2
Teleop10.8
End2.0
blue by 2.7
1208
#25
17.75.7
20.125.8
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned