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Red16
582223.4
588916.6
128811.8
Blue78
593435.6
432931.6
747217.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76922040601001201401678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+62
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +56
2Coral scored#13
6Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
6Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
2Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
16Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5822
#29
23.45.3
22.216.9
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End2.2
blue by 12.1
35.60.3
30.230.5
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End7.2
Second
5889
#36
16.65.3
21.516.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End4.1
blue by 15.1
4329
#31
31.60.3
26.827.1
Auto4.0
Teleop27.0
End0.7
Third
1288
#38
11.85.3
19.714.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 6.0
7472
#28
17.80.3
18.018.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed