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Red147
1031720.2
170668.9
55435.0
Blue54
51478.0
93119.4
493118.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11655010015020014754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+30Auto
+85Teleop
+93Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
0Leave0
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +55
23Coral scored#8
83Coral points28
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
103Total teleop48
Reef
11L4#4
8L3#2
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
0Foul points0
147Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.93.7
46.049.7
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
red by 49.5
931
#37
19.42.0
23.521.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
554
#13
35.03.7
31.134.8
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.0
red by 16.6
4931
#17
18.42.0
12.910.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End7.4
Third
20.23.7
16.820.5
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.1
red by 12.2
5147
#40
8.02.0
16.614.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed