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Red90
549226.5
132928.0
639134.1
Blue25
250635.9
517616.5
1032213.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78730501001502002503003504009025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+39Teleop
+47Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
9Coral scored#3
31Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
45Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#3
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
18Foul points0
90Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.7
28.629.3
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
blue by 1.8
2506
#24
35.94.4
24.019.6
Auto2.9
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Second
1329
#14
28.00.7
17.017.6
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.5
red by 11.5
5176
#30
16.54.4
21.417.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Third
5492
#16
26.50.7
20.521.2
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End5.2
red by 13.1
13.44.4
19.114.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed