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Red31
558311.7
745216.4
339718.7
Blue27
177520.6
681716.2
871910.5
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505401001502003127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +9
6Coral scored#3
20Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
24Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
31Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.71.4
16.415.0
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.9
blue by 1.9
1775
#11
20.62.3
17.715.4
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End2.7
Second
7452
#33
16.41.4
14.813.4
Auto2.2
Teleop13.5
End0.8
red by 0.2
6817
#26
16.22.3
18.916.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Third
5583
#43
11.71.4
12.511.1
Auto1.9
Teleop7.5
End2.3
red by 1.2
8719
#44
10.52.3
11.08.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed