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Red78
807713.5
940139.5
506017.9
Blue64
425641.0
306720.6
433019.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87752040601001201407864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
6Processor points0
12Net points16
18Algae points16
52Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
78Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.7
39.138.4
Auto14.4
Teleop18.8
End6.3
blue by 1.5
41.01.2
25.724.6
Auto7.8
Teleop27.2
End5.9
Second
5060
#10
17.90.7
17.116.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 2.7
3067
#35
20.61.2
21.220.0
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End1.7
Third
8077
#18
13.50.7
19.018.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End3.0
blue by 6.1
4330
#27
19.61.2
19.618.5
Auto2.4
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed