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Red57
96738.7
128811.8
711716.3
Blue26
582223.4
24084.0
120817.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7474304050607080901005726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +12
4Coral scored#2
16Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
20Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#2
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
12Foul points6
57Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#6
38.72.2
25.923.7
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End7.6
red by 15.2
5822
#29
23.45.0
27.222.2
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End2.2
Second
7117
#22
16.32.2
17.014.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End4.3
blue by 1.4
1208
#25
17.75.0
25.220.1
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Third
1288
#38
11.82.2
21.919.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 7.9
2408
#45
4.05.0
12.87.8
Auto0.7
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed