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Red203
450060.0
55435.0
2767.5
Blue74
297814.4
379234.9
747217.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13859010015020020374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+103Teleop
+129Endgame
+129Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave6
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +88
25Coral scored#13
89Coral points45
3Processor algae#1
10Net algae#2
18Processor points6
40Net points8
58Algae points14
147Total teleop59
Reef
11L4#6
8L3#5
6L2#3
6L1 · trough#1
44Game pieces#18
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +129
0Foul points0
203Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
67.54.1
55.159.2
Auto13.7
Teleop43.7
End10.1
red by 32.6
3792
#12
34.91.6
22.921.3
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End5.0
Second
60.04.1
40.644.7
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End6.3
red by 42.2
7472
#28
17.81.6
19.518.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End0.7
Third
554
#13
35.06.9
24.231.1
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.0
red by 20.6
2978
#15
14.41.6
18.717.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed