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Red50
588916.6
493118.4
432931.6
Blue49
132928.0
176312.0
51478.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions884701001505049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+1
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
0Processor points6
16Net points8
16Algae points14
39Total teleop41
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
2Foul points0
50Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#31
31.64.1
30.926.8
Auto4.0
Teleop27.0
End0.7
red by 3.6
1329
#14
28.01.0
17.917.0
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.5
Second
4931
#17
18.44.1
17.012.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End7.4
red by 6.4
1763
#41
12.00.6
11.010.4
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Third
5889
#36
16.64.1
25.621.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End4.1
red by 8.6
5147
#40
8.01.0
17.516.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed