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Red49
745216.4
117815.4
674419.7
Blue125
517616.5
170668.9
639134.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010405015049125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+76
Endgame+76
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +22
0Leave3
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points28
9Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +54
6Coral scored#16
22Coral points56
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
36Total teleop90
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points0
49Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6744
#34
19.72.1
21.319.3
Auto3.4
Teleop14.6
End1.8
blue by 49.2
68.92.9
43.146.0
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
Second
7452
#33
16.42.1
16.814.8
Auto2.2
Teleop13.5
End0.8
blue by 17.7
34.12.9
25.728.6
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
Third
1178
#42
15.42.1
18.516.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.4
blue by 1.1
5176
#30
16.52.9
18.521.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed