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Red57
549226.5
871910.5
558311.7
Blue92
807713.5
593435.6
774715.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5981020401001201405792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
32Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
20Foul points12
57Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#16
26.53.2
23.720.5
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End5.2
blue by 9.1
35.60.4
30.630.2
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End7.2
Second
5583
#43
11.73.2
15.712.5
Auto1.9
Teleop7.5
End2.3
blue by 3.3
7747
#39
15.00.4
18.618.2
Auto2.2
Teleop10.8
End2.0
Third
8719
#44
10.53.2
14.211.0
Auto1.7
Teleop7.2
End1.6
blue by 3.1
8077
#18
13.50.4
19.419.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned