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Red44
93119.4
774715.0
681716.2
Blue82
639134.1
582223.4
506017.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727902040601001201404482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+24
Endgame+26
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +17
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
36Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points12
44Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#37
19.43.1
21.518.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
blue by 14.7
34.10.7
29.328.5
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
Second
6817
#26
16.23.1
16.613.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4
blue by 7.2
5822
#29
23.40.7
16.916.2
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End2.2
Third
7747
#39
15.03.1
19.216.0
Auto2.2
Teleop10.8
End2.0
blue by 2.8
5060
#10
17.90.7
17.416.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed