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Red38
176312.0
117815.4
1032213.4
Blue69
128811.8
425641.0
807713.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49700204060801001201401603869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+19
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +27
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
18Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points12
38Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
#42
15.41.2
17.416.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.4
blue by 25.6
41.00.7
25.124.4
Auto7.8
Teleop27.2
End5.9
Second
13.41.2
14.713.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End1.8
blue by 0.1
8077
#18
13.50.7
18.317.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Third
1763
#41
12.00.7
10.79.9
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End1.5
red by 0.2
1288
#38
11.80.7
14.513.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned