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Red104
2767.5
120817.7
681716.2
Blue59
433019.6
517616.5
549226.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1165905010015020010459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+59Teleop
+57Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +49
13Coral scored#6
46Coral points21
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
74Total teleop25
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#3
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points12
104Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
67.50.4
59.159.5
Auto13.7
Teleop43.7
End10.1
red by 41.0
5492
#16
26.51.4
21.219.8
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End5.2
Second
1208
#25
17.70.6
25.826.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
blue by 1.9
4330
#27
19.61.4
21.019.7
Auto2.4
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Third
6817
#26
16.20.6
13.514.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4
blue by 0.2
5176
#30
16.51.4
17.115.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned