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Red38
774715.0
747217.8
176312.0
Blue100
593435.6
93119.4
425641.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539102040608010012014038100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+48
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +45
4Coral scored#15
16Coral points55
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
20Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
38Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7472
#28
17.80.7
18.417.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End0.7
blue by 23.1
41.03.4
24.427.8
Auto7.8
Teleop27.2
End5.9
Second
7747
#39
15.00.7
16.015.3
Auto2.2
Teleop10.8
End2.0
blue by 20.5
35.63.4
26.329.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End7.2
Third
1763
#41
12.00.4
9.99.5
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 7.4
931
#37
19.43.4
18.321.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned