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Red124
432931.6
250635.9
379234.9
Blue144
170668.9
1032213.4
96738.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84122204060100140160180124144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
15Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
21Coral scored#20
77Coral points72
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
95Total teleop98
Reef
11L4#6
4L3#10
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
124Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#24
35.93.0
22.525.5
Auto2.9
Teleop26.1
End7.0
blue by 32.9
68.92.9
52.255.1
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
Second
3792
#12
34.93.0
22.625.6
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End5.0
blue by 3.8
967
#6
38.72.9
31.434.3
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End7.6
Third
4329
#31
31.63.0
25.828.8
Auto4.0
Teleop27.0
End0.7
red by 18.3
13.42.9
13.516.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned