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Red100
450060.0
306720.6
749618.5
Blue69
639134.1
1031720.2
674419.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104765015010069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+29Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +29
17Coral scored#9
61Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
83Total teleop54
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
100Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.8
51.352.1
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End6.3
red by 25.9
34.10.2
28.528.3
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
Second
3067
#35
20.61.3
18.019.3
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End1.7
red by 0.4
20.20.2
16.316.1
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.1
Third
7496
#21
18.51.3
13.014.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End2.8
blue by 1.2
6744
#34
19.70.2
20.720.5
Auto3.4
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed