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Red72
339718.7
55435.0
588916.6
Blue15
24084.0
117815.4
558311.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95410501507215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
5Coral scored#1
18Coral points3
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
12Processor points0
4Net points0
16Algae points0
34Total teleop3
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#1
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
6Foul points0
72Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
554
#13
35.00.8
37.837.0
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.0
red by 19.6
1178
#42
15.42.5
16.213.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Second
18.70.8
20.419.6
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.9
red by 7.0
5583
#43
11.72.5
14.011.6
Auto1.9
Teleop7.5
End2.3
Third
5889
#36
16.60.8
14.914.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End4.1
red by 12.6
2408
#45
4.02.5
6.94.4
Auto0.7
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed