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Red113
2767.5
177520.6
128811.8
Blue78
493118.4
806928.2
506017.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10750015011378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points36
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
84Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
113Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
67.50.9
59.560.3
Auto13.7
Teleop43.7
End10.1
red by 39.3
8069
#20
28.22.3
19.622.0
Auto3.1
Teleop19.3
End5.8
Second
1775
#11
20.61.4
15.516.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End2.7
red by 2.2
4931
#17
18.42.3
9.511.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End7.4
Third
1288
#38
11.81.4
13.815.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 6.0
5060
#10
17.92.3
16.619.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned