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Red64
96738.7
749618.5
93119.4
Blue69
306720.6
593435.6
1032213.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847640601001201406469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
9Coral scored#7
32Coral points24
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
52Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points6
64Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#6
38.70.7
34.333.6
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End7.6
red by 3.1
35.60.3
29.729.5
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End7.2
Second
931
#37
19.40.7
21.821.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
blue by 1.1
3067
#35
20.60.3
19.319.1
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End1.7
Third
7496
#21
18.50.7
14.313.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End2.8
red by 5.1
13.40.3
16.416.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned