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Red85
493118.4
807713.5
2767.5
Blue95
120817.7
639134.1
806928.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068440601001201401608595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
55Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points18
85Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
67.51.0
60.359.4
Auto13.7
Teleop43.7
End10.1
red by 33.4
34.10.6
28.327.7
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
Second
4931
#17
18.41.6
11.810.2
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End7.4
blue by 9.8
8069
#20
28.20.6
22.021.3
Auto3.1
Teleop19.3
End5.8
Third
8077
#18
13.51.6
18.516.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End3.0
blue by 4.2
1208
#25
17.70.6
24.023.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned