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Red90
170668.9
51478.0
425641.0
Blue113
177520.6
450060.0
942824.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069940608012014016090113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+23
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
27Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +15
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
49Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points8
90Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.90.2
55.154.9
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
red by 8.9
60.01.3
52.153.4
Auto15.6
Teleop38.1
End6.3
Second
41.00.2
27.827.6
Auto7.8
Teleop27.2
End5.9
red by 16.6
9428
#32
24.42.1
16.818.9
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End2.2
Third
5147
#40
8.00.2
8.68.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 12.5
1775
#11
20.62.1
16.919.1
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned