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Red78
250635.9
1031720.2
132928.0
Blue66
593435.6
674419.7
128811.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747340506080901001107866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
+6Endgame
+12Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
47Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points0
78Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#24
35.91.2
25.526.7
Auto2.9
Teleop26.1
End7.0
red by 0.4
35.60.1
29.529.6
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End7.2
Second
1329
#14
28.01.2
21.722.9
Auto6.5
Teleop19.1
End2.5
red by 8.3
6744
#34
19.70.1
20.120.2
Auto3.4
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Third
20.21.2
14.115.3
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.1
red by 8.4
1288
#38
11.80.1
15.215.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed