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Red60
117815.4
549226.5
747217.8
Blue126
749618.5
379234.9
940139.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6110820408010012014016060126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+46
Endgame+54
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +23
6Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
6Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +23
11Coral scored#13
38Coral points45
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
46Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
8Cage & park16
8Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points12
60Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#16
26.50.1
21.221.1
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End5.2
blue by 13.0
39.52.1
43.745.8
Auto14.4
Teleop18.8
End6.3
Second
7472
#28
17.80.1
17.317.1
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End0.7
blue by 17.0
3792
#12
34.92.1
26.228.3
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End5.0
Third
1178
#42
15.40.1
12.212.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.4
blue by 3.1
7496
#21
18.52.1
13.615.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned