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Red73
582223.4
250635.9
942824.4
Blue107
745216.4
517616.5
2767.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649820408012014073107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+26
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
55Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
73Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#24
35.91.2
26.727.9
Auto2.9
Teleop26.1
End7.0
blue by 31.6
27
#1
67.51.5
59.460.9
Auto13.7
Teleop43.7
End10.1
Second
9428
#32
24.41.2
18.920.1
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End2.2
red by 7.9
5176
#30
16.52.4
14.517.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Third
5822
#29
23.41.2
16.617.8
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End2.2
red by 7.0
7452
#33
16.42.4
11.113.6
Auto2.2
Teleop13.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned