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Red61
51478.0
96738.7
55435.0
Blue108
425641.0
806928.2
339718.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9575406012014061108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+41
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +26
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
44Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points6
61Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#6
38.72.3
33.631.3
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End7.6
blue by 2.3
41.03.3
27.631.0
Auto7.8
Teleop27.2
End5.9
Second
554
#13
35.02.3
37.334.9
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.0
red by 6.8
8069
#20
28.23.3
21.324.7
Auto3.1
Teleop19.3
End5.8
Third
5147
#40
8.02.3
8.56.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 10.7
18.73.3
20.223.5
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned