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Red126
506017.9
177520.6
170668.9
Blue90
176312.0
639134.1
871910.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1143805010015012690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+28Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#12
56Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
76Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
6Foul points6
126Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.91.6
54.956.6
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
red by 34.8
34.13.4
27.731.2
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
Second
1775
#11
20.61.6
19.120.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.8
End2.7
red by 8.5
1763
#41
12.02.1
8.310.4
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Third
5060
#10
17.91.6
17.218.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End2.5
red by 7.4
8719
#44
10.53.4
3.26.6
Auto1.7
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed