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Red159
379234.9
493118.4
170668.9
Blue103
433019.6
506017.9
593435.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126844060100140160180159103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points3
29Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
12Processor points6
36Net points12
48Algae points18
104Total teleop73
Reef
8L4#8
7L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points2
159Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.94.3
56.660.8
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
red by 33.3
35.61.1
29.630.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End7.2
Second
3792
#12
34.94.3
28.332.5
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End5.0
red by 15.2
4330
#27
19.61.1
18.519.6
Auto2.4
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Third
4931
#17
18.44.3
9.513.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.5
End7.4
red by 0.5
5060
#10
17.91.1
18.819.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned