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Red76
806928.2
96738.7
871910.5
Blue62
549226.5
176312.0
674419.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775920401001201407662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
51Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
76Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#6
38.71.5
31.332.8
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End7.6
red by 12.1
5492
#16
26.51.1
21.122.2
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End5.2
Second
8069
#20
28.21.5
24.726.1
Auto3.1
Teleop19.3
End5.8
red by 8.5
6744
#34
19.71.1
20.221.4
Auto3.4
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Third
8719
#44
10.51.5
6.68.1
Auto1.7
Teleop7.2
End1.6
blue by 1.6
1763
#41
12.00.7
10.411.1
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed