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Red138
639134.1
250635.9
425641.0
Blue51
120817.7
588916.6
117815.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10850010015013851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+81Teleop
+87Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +78
21Coral scored#7
74Coral points24
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
18Processor points6
20Net points4
38Algae points10
112Total teleop34
Reef
5L4#3
9L3#3
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#11
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points0
138Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.03.8
31.034.8
Auto7.8
Teleop27.2
End5.9
red by 23.2
1208
#25
17.70.9
22.721.8
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Second
2506
#24
35.93.8
27.931.7
Auto2.9
Teleop26.1
End7.0
red by 19.4
5889
#36
16.60.9
12.211.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Third
34.13.8
31.235.0
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
red by 18.7
1178
#42
15.40.9
12.111.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed