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Red135
711716.3
170668.9
593435.6
Blue27
128811.8
297814.4
681716.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1303505010015020013527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+88Teleop
+108Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +64
17Coral scored#2
62Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
76Total teleop12
Reef
11L4#2
7L3#1
3L2#0
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#5
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
0Foul points0
135Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.93.1
60.863.9
Auto18.7
Teleop40.7
End9.5
red by 52.7
6817
#26
16.21.8
13.912.1
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Second
35.63.1
30.733.7
Auto5.6
Teleop22.8
End7.2
red by 21.2
2978
#15
14.41.7
11.39.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Third
7117
#22
16.33.3
11.014.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End4.3
red by 4.4
1288
#38
11.81.8
15.413.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed