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Red99
942824.4
940139.5
639134.1
Blue88
55435.0
128811.8
120817.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120700501001502009988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +1
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
62Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
99Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.51.5
46.244.7
Auto14.4
Teleop18.8
End6.3
red by 4.5
554
#13
35.00.9
32.433.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End6.0
Second
34.11.5
35.033.4
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.0
red by 16.4
1208
#25
17.70.9
21.822.8
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End4.0
Third
9428
#32
24.41.5
21.419.9
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End2.2
red by 12.5
1288
#38
11.80.9
13.614.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned