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Red89
681716.2
745216.4
379234.9
Blue124
774715.0
749618.5
425641.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79795060709010011012089124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points7
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
11Coral scored#17
38Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
62Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#7
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
6Foul points6
89Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3792
#12
34.90.3
32.532.8
Auto8.1
Teleop21.7
End5.0
blue by 6.1
41.03.5
34.838.3
Auto7.8
Teleop27.2
End5.9
Second
7452
#33
16.40.3
14.815.1
Auto2.2
Teleop13.5
End0.8
blue by 2.1
7496
#21
18.53.5
13.116.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.2
End2.8
Third
6817
#26
16.20.3
12.112.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End2.4
red by 1.2
7747
#39
15.03.5
13.116.6
Auto2.2
Teleop10.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned