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Red108
432931.6
433019.6
1031720.2
Blue100
117815.4
711716.3
806928.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796002040100120108100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
20Coral scored#14
73Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
93Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#6
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +14
6Cage & park20
6Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
108Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#31
31.62.0
27.529.6
Auto4.0
Teleop27.0
End0.7
red by 3.4
8069
#20
28.22.5
26.128.7
Auto3.1
Teleop19.3
End5.8
Second
20.22.0
15.717.7
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.1
red by 3.9
7117
#22
16.32.5
14.316.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End4.3
Third
4330
#27
19.62.0
19.621.7
Auto2.4
Teleop15.0
End2.3
red by 4.3
1178
#42
15.42.5
11.213.7
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned